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FTMatchday 1

Freiburg vs Werder Bremen: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1489

Recent form

FreiburgWLDLW
Werder BremenWDLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Werder Bremen7+314
2Freiburg7+313

Head to head

  • Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen2026-02-07
  • Werder Bremen 0–3 Freiburg2025-09-20

Match preview

Freiburg host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 30 August 2026. Freiburg sit 4th on 13 points and Werder Bremen are 3rd on 14. Freiburg have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDLW), while Werder Bremen have won 1 of 5 (WDLLL). In their last 2 meetings, Freiburg won 2, Werder Bremen won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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