Kick-off · Sun, 29 Nov, 08:00 pm ISTMatchday 11
Freiburg vs RB Leipzig: Prediction
Freiburg41%Home win
RB Leipzig41% Home win24% Draw35% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.61 – 1.49
Team rating (Elo)1507 – 1482
Recent form
FreiburgWDWLLRB LeipzigWWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 6 | +4 | 9 |
Head to head
- Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig2026-05-16
- RB Leipzig 2–0 Freiburg2026-01-14
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
