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FTMatchday 34

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
FreiburgRB Leipzig
  1. Jan-Niklas Beste24'
  2. Igor Matanovicassist Johan Manzambi26'
  3. 33'Assan Ouédraogoassist Yan Diomande
  4. Matthias Ginterassist Jordy Makengo Basambundu47'
  5. Nicolas Hofleron60'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1482

Recent form

FreiburgWWLDL
RB LeipzigWWWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1RB Leipzig32+2164
2Freiburg32-841

Head to head

  • RB Leipzig 2–0 Freiburg2026-01-14

Match preview

Freiburg host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 16 May 2026. Freiburg sit 8th on 41 points and RB Leipzig are 3rd on 64. Freiburg have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLDL), while RB Leipzig have won 4 of 5 (WWWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Freiburg won 0, RB Leipzig won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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