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FTMatchday 30

Freiburg vs FC Heidenheim: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1433

Recent form

FreiburgDLWLW
FC HeidenheimLLDDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Freiburg32-841
2FC Heidenheim32-2525

Head to head

  • FC Heidenheim 2–1 Freiburg2025-12-06

Match preview

Freiburg host FC Heidenheim in the Bundesliga on 19 April 2026. Freiburg sit 8th on 41 points and FC Heidenheim are 17th on 25. Freiburg have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while FC Heidenheim have won 1 of 5 (LLDDW). In their last 1 meetings, Freiburg won 0, FC Heidenheim won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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