Kick-off · Sun, 7 Mar, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 27
Fiorentina vs Venezia: Prediction
Fiorentina51%Home win
Venezia51% Home win24% Draw25% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.68 – 1.09
Team rating (Elo)1464 – 1427
Recent form
FiorentinaDLLLDVeneziaLLWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiorentina | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 2 | Venezia | 8 | -11 | 3 |
Head to head
- Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina2026-09-11
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
