Fiorentina vs Roma: Prediction
📍 Stadio Artemio Franchi
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 3'Bryan Cristanteyellow card
- ⚽Moise Keanassist Hans Nicolussi Caviglia14'
- 22'⚽Matías Souléassist Artem Dovbyk
- 30'⚽Bryan Cristanteassist Matías Soulé
- Albert Guðmundssonyellow card43'
- Stefano Pioliyellow card44'
- ⇄Albert Guðmundssonon46'
- 59'⇄Artem Dovbykon
- 59'⇄Tommaso Baldanzion
- 65'Kostas Tsimikasyellow card
- ⇄Jacopo Fazzinion67'
- 68'⇄Kostas Tsimikason
- 68'Wesley Françayellow card
- Pablo Maríyellow card70'
- ⇄Rolando Mandragoraon75'
- ⇄Pablo Maríon75'
- 81'⇄Wesley Françaon
- ⇄Dodôon81'
- 81'⇄Matías Souléon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 45%Possession55%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 11Shots8
- 3Shots on target3
- 3Corners4
- 18Fouls21
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides0
- 2Saves2
- 368Passes463
Line-ups
Fiorentina
Roma
- 4Bryan Cristante
- 23Gianluca Mancini
- 99Mile Svilar
- 19Zeki Çelik
- 5Evan Ndicka
- 12Kostas Tsimikas
- 35Tommaso Baldanzi
- 17Manu Koné
- 9Artem Dovbyk
- 18Matías Soulé
- 43Wesley França
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +27 | 67 | |
| 2 | 35 | -8 | 40 |
Head to head
- Roma 4–0 Fiorentina2026-08-24
- Roma 4–0 Fiorentina2026-05-04
Match preview
Fiorentina host Roma in the Serie A on 5 October 2025. Fiorentina sit 15th on 40 points and Roma are 4th on 67. Fiorentina have won 0 of their last 4 (DLLD), while Roma have won 3 of 4 (WLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Fiorentina won 0, Roma won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

