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FTMatchday 3

Fiorentina vs Napoli: Prediction

📍 Stadio Artemio Franchi

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
FiorentinaNapoli
  1. 6'Kevin De Bruynepenalty
  2. 14'Rasmus Højlundassist Leonardo Spinazzola
  3. Edin Dzekoon46'
  4. 51'Sam Beukemaassist Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
  5. Simon Sohmon65'
  6. Nicolò Fagiolion65'
  7. 69'Leonardo Spinazzolaon
  8. 69'Kevin De Bruyneon
  9. 69'Matteo Politanoon
  10. 73'Rasmus Højlundon
  11. Luca Ranieri79'
  12. Pietro Comuzzoon87'
  13. Marin Pongračićon90'
  14. 90'Stanislav Lobotkaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FiorentinaNapoli
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)3
  • 19Shots14
  • 3Shots on target9
  • 8Corners5
  • 14Fouls14
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 5Saves2
  • 456Passes419

Line-ups

Fiorentina

  • 9Edin Dzeko
  • 43David de Gea
  • 8Rolando Mandragora
  • 21Robin Gosens
  • 20Moise Kean
  • 6Luca Ranieri
  • 5Marin Pongračić
  • 2Dodô
  • 7Simon Sohm
  • 44Nicolò Fagioli
  • 15Pietro Comuzzo

Napoli

  • 21Matteo Politano
  • 11Kevin De Bruyne
  • 68Stanislav Lobotka
  • 99Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
  • 37Leonardo Spinazzola
  • 8Scott McTominay
  • 22Giovanni Di Lorenzo
  • 32Vanja Milinković-Savić
  • 4Alessandro Buongiorno
  • 19Rasmus Højlund
  • 31Sam Beukema

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1465

Recent form

FiorentinaD
NapoliW
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli35+2170
2Fiorentina35-840

Head to head

  • Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli2026-09-20
  • Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina2026-01-31

Match preview

Fiorentina host Napoli in the Serie A on 13 September 2025. Fiorentina sit 15th on 40 points and Napoli are 2nd on 70. Fiorentina have won 0 of their last 1 (D), while Napoli have won 1 of 1 (W). In their last 2 meetings, Fiorentina won 0, Napoli won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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