Kick-off · Sun, 10 Jan, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 19
Fiorentina vs Lecce: Prediction
Fiorentina49%Home win
Lecce49% Home win25% Draw26% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.62 – 1.12
Team rating (Elo)1464 – 1442
Recent form
FiorentinaDLLLDLecceLLWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lecce | 8 | -5 | 9 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 8 | -7 | 5 |
Head to head
- Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina2026-04-20
- Fiorentina 0–1 Lecce2025-11-02
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
