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FTMatchday 10

Fiorentina vs Lecce: Prediction

📍 Stadio Artemio Franchi

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
FiorentinaLecce
  1. Hans Nicolussi Cavigliayellow card14'
  2. Nicolò Fagioliyellow card15'
  3. 23'Medon Berishaassist Tete Morente
  4. 41'Danilo Veigayellow card
  5. Cher Ndouron46'
  6. Hans Nicolussi Cavigliaon46'
  7. Nicolò Fagiolion46'
  8. Edin Dzekoon59'
  9. Moise Keanyellow card66'
  10. 73'Lameck Bandaon
  11. 76'Medon Berishaon
  12. Pietro Comuzzoon77'
  13. Luca Ranieriyellow card87'
  14. 89'Nikola Štulićon
  15. 89'Tete Morenteon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FiorentinaLecce
  • 63%Possession37%
  • 1.46Expected goals (xG)1.15
  • 15Shots11
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 4Corners4
  • 14Fouls21
  • 4Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides0
  • 3Saves4
  • 459Passes276

Line-ups

Fiorentina

  • 9Edin Dzeko
  • 43David de Gea
  • 20Moise Kean
  • 6Luca Ranieri
  • 5Marin Pongračić
  • 2Dodô
  • 14Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
  • 44Nicolò Fagioli
  • 27Cher Ndour
  • 15Pietro Comuzzo
  • 29Niccolò Fortini

Lecce

  • 30Wladimiro Falcone
  • 29Lassana Coulibaly
  • 7Tete Morente
  • 20Ylber Ramadani
  • 19Lameck Banda
  • 25Antonino Gallo
  • 17Danilo Veiga
  • 9Nikola Štulić
  • 10Medon Berisha
  • 4Kialonda Gaspar
  • 44Tiago Gabriel

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1431

Recent form

FiorentinaDLLDL
LecceDWDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Fiorentina35-840
2Lecce35-2232

Head to head

  • Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina2026-04-20

Match preview

Fiorentina host Lecce in the Serie A on 2 November 2025. Fiorentina sit 15th on 40 points and Lecce are 17th on 32. Fiorentina have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLDL), while Lecce have won 1 of 5 (DWDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Fiorentina won 0, Lecce won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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