Kick-off · Sun, 3 Jan, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 17
Fiorentina vs Lazio: Prediction
Fiorentina46%Away win
Lazio29% Home win25% Draw46% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.17 – 1.56
Team rating (Elo)1464 – 1588
Recent form
FiorentinaDLLLDLazioWWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 8 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 8 | -7 | 5 |
Head to head
- Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio2026-04-13
- Lazio 2–2 Fiorentina2026-01-07
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
