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FTMatchday 30

Fiorentina vs Inter Milan: Prediction

📍 Stadio Artemio Franchi

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
FiorentinaInter Milan
  1. 1'Francesco Espositoassist Nicolo Barella
  2. 42'Federico Dimarcoyellow card
  3. 44'Carlos Nevesyellow card
  4. 46'Carlos Neveson
  5. Marco Brescianiniyellow card55'
  6. Cher Ndouryellow card60'
  7. 62'Nicolo Barellayellow card
  8. Moise Keanyellow card65'
  9. 68'Marcus Thuramon
  10. 69'Hakan Çalhanoğluon
  11. Fabiano Parision69'
  12. Cher Ndour77'
  13. 83'Nicolo Barellaon
  14. Moise Keanon86'
  15. 86'Denzel Dumfrieson
  16. Nicolò Fagiolion90'
  17. Albert Guðmundssonon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FiorentinaInter Milan
  • 40%Possession60%
  • 2.31Expected goals (xG)1.32
  • 16Shots12
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 3Corners5
  • 16Fouls12
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Offsides1
  • 3Saves5
  • 383Passes577

Line-ups

Fiorentina

  • 43David de Gea
  • 21Robin Gosens
  • 20Moise Kean
  • 6Luca Ranieri
  • 5Marin Pongračić
  • 10Albert Guðmundsson
  • 2Dodô
  • 4Marco Brescianini
  • 65Fabiano Parisi
  • 44Nicolò Fagioli
  • 27Cher Ndour

Inter Milan

  • 32Federico Dimarco
  • 23Nicolo Barella
  • 20Hakan Çalhanoğlu
  • 25Manuel Akanji
  • 7Piotr Zieliński
  • 1Yann Sommer
  • 2Denzel Dumfries
  • 9Marcus Thuram
  • 30Carlos Neves
  • 31Yann Bisseck
  • 94Francesco Esposito

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1537

Recent form

FiorentinaDWWLW
Inter MilanWWWWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milan35+5584
2Fiorentina35-840

Head to head

  • Inter Milan 2–1 Fiorentina2026-10-25
  • Inter Milan 3–0 Fiorentina2025-10-29

Match preview

Fiorentina host Inter Milan in the Serie A on 22 March 2026. Fiorentina sit 15th on 40 points and Inter Milan are 1st on 84. Fiorentina have won 3 of their last 5 (DWWLW), while Inter Milan have won 4 of 5 (WWWWD). In their last 2 meetings, Fiorentina won 0, Inter Milan won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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