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FTMatchday 36

Fiorentina vs Genoa: Prediction

📍 Stadio Artemio Franchi

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
FiorentinaGenoa
  1. 58'Lorenzo Colomboon
  2. Riccardo Braschion61'
  3. 71'Jeff Ekhator Osayukion
  4. 71'Aarón Martínon
  5. Rolando Mandragoraon72'
  6. Cher Ndouron73'
  7. 82'Alessandro Marcandallion
  8. 82'Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filhoon
  9. Fabiano Parision86'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FiorentinaGenoa
  • 57%Possession43%
  • 0.97Expected goals (xG)0.58
  • 13Shots9
  • 1Shots on target3
  • 4Corners3
  • 13Fouls14
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 3Saves0
  • 417Passes316

Line-ups

Fiorentina

  • 43David de Gea
  • 8Rolando Mandragora
  • 21Robin Gosens
  • 6Luca Ranieri
  • 5Marin Pongračić
  • 2Dodô
  • 19Manor Solomon
  • 65Fabiano Parisi
  • 44Nicolò Fagioli
  • 27Cher Ndour
  • 61Riccardo Braschi

Genoa

  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 16Justin Bijlow
  • 29Lorenzo Colombo
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 27Alessandro Marcandalli
  • 13Nils Zätterström
  • 21Jeff Ekhator Osayuki
  • 4Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1472

Recent form

FiorentinaWWDDL
GenoaLWWLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Fiorentina35-840
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina2026-10-10
  • Genoa 2–2 Fiorentina2025-11-09

Match preview

Fiorentina host Genoa in the Serie A on 10 May 2026. Fiorentina sit 15th on 40 points and Genoa are 16th on 38. Fiorentina have won 2 of their last 5 (WWDDL), while Genoa have won 2 of 5 (LWWLD). In their last 2 meetings, Fiorentina won 0, Genoa won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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