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FTMatchday 18

Fiorentina vs Cremonese: Prediction

📍 Stadio Artemio Franchi

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
FiorentinaCremonese
  1. 20'Warren Bondoyellow card
  2. 29'Warren Bondoon
  3. Dodôyellow card42'
  4. 42'Martín Payeroyellow card
  5. 59'Jari Vandeputteon
  6. Fabiano Parision66'
  7. Luca Ranierion66'
  8. 75'Martín Payeroon
  9. 75'Federico Bonazzolion
  10. Cher Ndouron76'
  11. 76'Jamie Vardyon
  12. Albert Guðmundssonon84'
  13. Rolando Mandragoraon85'
  14. Moise Kean90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FiorentinaCremonese
  • 65%Possession35%
  • 2.06Expected goals (xG)0.73
  • 22Shots6
  • 8Shots on target2
  • 7Corners3
  • 10Fouls19
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides1
  • 2Saves7
  • 518Passes283

Line-ups

Fiorentina

  • 43David de Gea
  • 8Rolando Mandragora
  • 91Roberto Piccoli
  • 6Luca Ranieri
  • 5Marin Pongračić
  • 10Albert Guðmundsson
  • 2Dodô
  • 65Fabiano Parisi
  • 44Nicolò Fagioli
  • 27Cher Ndour
  • 15Pietro Comuzzo

Cremonese

  • 10Jamie Vardy
  • 90Federico Bonazzoli
  • 1Emil Audero
  • 3Giuseppe Pezzella
  • 27Jari Vandeputte
  • 38Warren Bondo
  • 32Martín Payero
  • 6Federico Baschirotto
  • 24Filippo Terracciano
  • 4Tommaso Barbieri
  • 55Francesco Folino

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1437

Recent form

FiorentinaDLLWL
CremoneseLWWDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Fiorentina35-840
2Cremonese35-2431

Head to head

  • Cremonese 1–4 Fiorentina2026-03-16

Match preview

Fiorentina host Cremonese in the Serie A on 4 January 2026. Fiorentina sit 15th on 40 points and Cremonese are 18th on 31. Fiorentina have won 1 of their last 5 (DLLWL), while Cremonese have won 2 of 5 (LWWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Fiorentina won 1, Cremonese won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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