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FTMatchday 22

Fiorentina vs Cagliari: Prediction

📍 Stadio Artemio Franchi

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
FiorentinaCagliari
  1. 31'Semih Kılıçsoyassist Marco Palestra
  2. Rolando Mandragoraon46'
  3. 47'Marco Palestraassist Sebastiano Esposito
  4. Marin Pongračićyellow card56'
  5. Robin Gosenson59'
  6. Cher Ndouron60'
  7. 63'Elia Caprileyellow card
  8. 64'Sebastiano Espositoon
  9. 71'Semih Kılıçsoyon
  10. Marco Brescianiniassist Dodô74'
  11. 80'Adam Oberton
  12. 80'Luca Mazzitellion
  13. 81'Marco Palestraon
  14. Manor Solomonon83'
  15. 85'Yerry Minayellow card
  16. 87'Zé Pedroyellow card
  17. Pietro Comuzzoyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FiorentinaCagliari
  • 70%Possession30%
  • 2.15Expected goals (xG)1.08
  • 15Shots10
  • 3Shots on target6
  • 8Corners3
  • 11Fouls17
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 4Saves2
  • 615Passes271

Line-ups

Fiorentina

  • 43David de Gea
  • 8Rolando Mandragora
  • 21Robin Gosens
  • 91Roberto Piccoli
  • 5Marin Pongračić
  • 10Albert Guðmundsson
  • 2Dodô
  • 19Manor Solomon
  • 44Nicolò Fagioli
  • 27Cher Ndour
  • 15Pietro Comuzzo

Cagliari

  • 4Luca Mazzitelli
  • 26Yerry Mina
  • 94Sebastiano Esposito
  • 6Sebastiano Luperto
  • 10Gianluca Gaetano
  • 33Adam Obert
  • 8Ndary Adopo
  • 1Elia Caprile
  • 32Zé Pedro
  • 9Semih Kılıçsoy
  • 2Marco Palestra

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1467

Recent form

FiorentinaLWDDW
CagliariWLDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Cagliari35-1043
2Fiorentina35-840

Head to head

  • Cagliari 1–1 Fiorentina2025-08-24

Match preview

Fiorentina host Cagliari in the Serie A on 24 January 2026. Fiorentina sit 15th on 40 points and Cagliari are 12th on 43. Fiorentina have won 2 of their last 5 (LWDDW), while Cagliari have won 2 of 5 (WLDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Fiorentina won 0, Cagliari won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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