Kick-off · Sun, 20 Dec, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 16
Fiorentina vs Bologna: Prediction
Fiorentina37%Home win
Bologna37% Home win26% Draw37% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.34 – 1.36
Team rating (Elo)1464 – 1527
Recent form
FiorentinaDLLLDBolognaDWLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bologna | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 8 | -7 | 5 |
Head to head
- Bologna 1–2 Fiorentina2026-01-18
- Fiorentina 2–2 Bologna2025-10-26
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
