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FTMatchday 8

Fiorentina vs Bologna: Prediction

📍 Stadio Artemio Franchi

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
FiorentinaBologna
  1. -5'Jonathan Roweyellow card
  2. 25'Santiago Castro
  3. Robin Gosensyellow card36'
  4. 39'Remo Freuleryellow card
  5. 52'Nicolò Cambiaghiassist Emil Holm
  6. Robin Gosenson54'
  7. Rolando Mandragoraon54'
  8. Nicolò Fagiolion54'
  9. Albert Guðmundssonyellow card58'
  10. 64'Nicolò Cambiaghion
  11. 64'Santiago Castroon
  12. Hans Nicolussi Cavigliaon65'
  13. 71'Emil Holmyellow card
  14. Albert Guðmundssonpenalty74'
  15. 76'Giovanni Fabbianon
  16. 76'Riccardo Orsolinion
  17. 83'Emil Holmyellow card
  18. 83'Emil Holmred card
  19. Luca Ranierion85'
  20. Edin Dzekoyellow card90'
  21. 90'Jhon Lucumíyellow card
  22. Moise Keanpenalty90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FiorentinaBologna
  • 51%Possession49%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)1
  • 19Shots6
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 5Corners6
  • 13Fouls20
  • 3Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards1
  • 5Offsides3
  • 1Saves4
  • 327Passes329

Line-ups

Fiorentina

  • 43David de Gea
  • 8Rolando Mandragora
  • 21Robin Gosens
  • 18Pablo Marí
  • 20Moise Kean
  • 6Luca Ranieri
  • 5Marin Pongračić
  • 10Albert Guðmundsson
  • 2Dodô
  • 14Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
  • 44Nicolò Fagioli

Bologna

  • 1Lukasz Skorupski
  • 8Remo Freuler
  • 19Lewis Ferguson
  • 33Juan Miranda
  • 7Riccardo Orsolini
  • 26Jhon Lucumí
  • 2Emil Holm
  • 28Nicolò Cambiaghi
  • 80Giovanni Fabbian
  • 14Torbjørn Heggem
  • 9Santiago Castro

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1534

Recent form

FiorentinaLLDLL
BolognaLWDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Bologna35+453
2Fiorentina35-840

Head to head

  • Bologna 1–2 Fiorentina2026-01-18

Match preview

Fiorentina host Bologna in the Serie A on 26 October 2025. Fiorentina sit 15th on 40 points and Bologna are 8th on 53. Fiorentina have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDLL), while Bologna have won 3 of 5 (LWDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Fiorentina won 1, Bologna won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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