Kick-off · Sun, 11 Apr, 10:00 pm ISTMatchday 31
Fiorentina vs AC Milan: Prediction
Fiorentina41%Away win
AC Milan33% Home win26% Draw41% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.26 – 1.45
Team rating (Elo)1464 – 1553
Recent form
FiorentinaDLLLDAC MilanWDWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 8 | +5 | 15 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 8 | -7 | 5 |
Head to head
- Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan2026-01-11
- AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina2025-10-19
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
