FTMatchday 20

Fiorentina vs AC Milan: Prediction

📍 Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina1

AC Milan1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

FiorentinaAC Milan

Moise Keanyellow card31'
53'Pervis Estupiñányellow card
60'Niclas Fullkrugon
60'Ardon Jasharion
60'Pervis Estupiñánon
63'Ruben Loftus-Cheekon
Rolando Mandragoraon65'
Pietro Comuzzoassist Albert Guðmundsson66'
74'Strahinja Pavlovićon
Nicolò Fagioliyellow card80'
Albert Guðmundssonon82'
Robin Gosenson83'
Fabiano Parision83'
84'Adrien Rabiotyellow card
90'Youssouf Fofanayellow card
Cher Ndouron90'
90'Christopher Nkunkuassist Youssouf Fofana

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

FiorentinaAC Milan

52%Possession48%
1.48Expected goals (xG)1.80
20Shots13
7Shots on target3
8Corners5
10Fouls14
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Offsides0
2Saves6
431Passes403

Line-ups

Fiorentina

43David de Gea
8Rolando Mandragora
21Robin Gosens
20Moise Kean
5Marin Pongračić
10Albert Guðmundsson
2Dodô
65Fabiano Parisi
44Nicolò Fagioli
27Cher Ndour
15Pietro Comuzzo

AC Milan

8Ruben Loftus-Cheek
16Mike Maignan
9Niclas Fullkrug
11Christian Pulisic
46Matteo Gabbia
56Alexis Saelemaekers
2Pervis Estupiñán
4Samuele Ricci
31Strahinja Pavlović
5Koni De Winter
30Ardon Jashari

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1571

Recent form

FiorentinaLWLWD

AC MilanWWWWD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AC Milan	35	+15	63
2	Fiorentina	35	-8	40

Head to head

AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina2025-10-19

Match preview

Fiorentina host AC Milan in the Serie A on 11 January 2026. Fiorentina sit 15th on 40 points and AC Milan are 5th on 63. Fiorentina have won 2 of their last 5 (LWLWD), while AC Milan have won 4 of 5 (WWWWD). In their last 1 meetings, Fiorentina won 0, AC Milan won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.