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FTMatchday 31

Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
KölnBayer Leverkusen
  1. 10'Edmond Tapsobayellow card
  2. 43'Patrik Schickpenalty
  3. Ísak Bergmann Jóhannessonyellow card45'
  4. 52'Patrik Schickassist Nathan Tella
  5. Linton Mainaon62'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1440 – 1506

Recent form

KölnDDDWD
Bayer LeverkusenDDWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayer Leverkusen32+1656
2Köln32-1231

Head to head

  • Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Köln2025-12-13

Match preview

Köln host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 25 April 2026. Köln sit 14th on 31 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 6th on 56. Köln have won 1 of their last 5 (DDDWD), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of 5 (DDWWL). In their last 1 meetings, Köln won 0, Bayer Leverkusen won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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