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FTMatchday 34

FC Heidenheim vs Mainz: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1433 – 1499

Recent form

FC HeidenheimWLWDW
MainzLDLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Mainz32-839
2FC Heidenheim32-2525

Head to head

  • Mainz 2–1 FC Heidenheim2026-01-13

Match preview

FC Heidenheim host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 16 May 2026. FC Heidenheim sit 17th on 25 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. FC Heidenheim have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWDW), while Mainz have won 1 of 5 (LDLWL). In their last 1 meetings, FC Heidenheim won 0, Mainz won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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