Kick-off · Sun, 14 Mar, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 28
Elche vs Villarreal: Prediction
Elche37%Away win
Villarreal36% Home win27% Draw37% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.29 – 1.31
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1468
Recent form
ElcheLWDDWVillarrealLWDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 2 | Elche | 9 | -3 | 9 |
Head to head
- Villarreal 0–0 Elche2026-10-17
- Villarreal 2–1 Elche2026-03-08
- Elche 1–3 Villarreal2026-01-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
