Kick-off · Sun, 18 Apr, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 32
Elche vs Osasuna: Prediction
Elche52%Home win
Osasuna52% Home win25% Draw23% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.66 – 1.02
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1431
Recent form
ElcheLWDDWOsasunaLDLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elche | 9 | -3 | 9 |
| 2 | Osasuna | 9 | -11 | 8 |
Head to head
- Elche 0–0 Osasuna2026-02-13
- Osasuna 1–1 Elche2025-09-25
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
