Kick-off · Sun, 3 Jan, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 17
Como vs Lecce: Prediction
Como68%Home win
Lecce68% Home win19% Draw13% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.17 – 0.84
Team rating (Elo)1520 – 1442
Recent form
ComoLWWWWLecceLLWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 2 | Lecce | 8 | -5 | 9 |
Head to head
- Como 3–1 Lecce2026-02-28
- Lecce 0–3 Como2025-12-27
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
