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FTMatchday 3

Como vs Genoa: Prediction

📍 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ComoGenoa
  1. Nico Pazassist Álvaro Morata13'
  2. 29'Leo Østigårdyellow card
  3. Álex Valleyellow card39'
  4. 48'Ruslan Malinovskyiyellow card
  5. 57'Stefano Sabellion
  6. Lucas Cunhaon65'
  7. Álvaro Morataon65'
  8. 71'Mikael Egill Ellertssonon
  9. 71'Ruslan Malinovskyion
  10. Maxence Caquereton73'
  11. Nicolas Kühnon73'
  12. Sergi Robertoyellow card80'
  13. 81'Lorenzo Colomboon
  14. Jesús Rodríguezon85'
  15. Jacobo Ramónred card88'
  16. 90'Caleb Ekuban

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ComoGenoa
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.83Expected goals (xG)2.34
  • 13Shots12
  • 4Shots on target6
  • 0Corners8
  • 13Fouls17
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 4Saves3
  • 452Passes396

Line-ups

Como

  • 1Jean Butez
  • 2Marc-Oliver Kempf
  • 7Álvaro Morata
  • 6Maxence Caqueret
  • 31Mërgim Vojvoda
  • 33Lucas Cunha
  • 19Nicolas Kühn
  • 3Álex Valle
  • 10Nico Paz
  • 17Jesús Rodríguez
  • 14Jacobo Ramón

Genoa

  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 20Stefano Sabelli
  • 29Lorenzo Colombo
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 1Nicola Leali
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  • 73Patrizio Masini

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1545 – 1472

Recent form

ComoW
GenoaD
#TeamPGDPts
1Como35+3768
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Genoa 1–4 Como2026-09-04
  • Genoa 0–2 Como2026-04-26

Match preview

Como host Genoa in the Serie A on 15 September 2025. Como sit 3rd on 68 points and Genoa are 16th on 38. Como have won 1 of their last 1 (W), while Genoa have won 0 of 1 (D). In their last 2 meetings, Como won 2, Genoa won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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