Kick-off · Sun, 3 Jan, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 19
Chelsea vs Newcastle United: Prediction
Chelsea49%Home win
Newcastle United49% Home win24% Draw27% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.67 – 1.18
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1517
Recent form
ChelseaDLWWLNewcastle UnitedLWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Head to head
- Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle United2026-03-14
- Newcastle United 2–2 Chelsea2025-12-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
