Kick-off · রবি ৩ জানু, ০৭:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 19
Chelsea vs Newcastle United: Prediction
Chelsea48%Home win
Newcastle United48% Home win24% Draw28% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.65 – 1.19
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1490
Recent form
ChelseaDLWWLNewcastle UnitedLWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Head to head
- Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle United2026-03-14
- Newcastle United 2–2 Chelsea2025-12-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
