Kick-off · Sun, 21 Mar, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 29
Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid: Prediction
Celta Vigo48%Away win
Real Madrid27% Home win25% Draw48% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.09 – 1.55
Team rating (Elo)1507 – 1557
Recent form
Celta VigoDWDWDReal MadridWWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo | 9 | +4 | 12 |
Head to head
- Celta Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid2026-03-06
- Real Madrid 0–2 Celta Vigo2025-12-07
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
