Kick-off · Sun, 14 Feb, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 24
Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction
Celta Vigo49%Home win
Rayo Vallecano49% Home win25% Draw26% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.56 – 1.08
Team rating (Elo)1507 – 1486
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +4 | 12 | |
| 2 | 8 | -7 | 9 |
Head to head
- Celta Vigo 3–0 Rayo Vallecano2026-01-18
- Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo2025-09-21
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.