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Kick-off · Sun, 14 Feb, 09:30 pm ISTMatchday 24

Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction

Celta Vigo
49%Home win
Rayo Vallecano

Tipster consensus · who picked what

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.56 – 1.08
Team rating (Elo)1507 – 1486

Recent form

Celta VigoDWDWD
Rayo VallecanoLWDDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Celta Vigo9+412
2Rayo Vallecano8-79

Head to head

  • Celta Vigo 3–0 Rayo Vallecano2026-01-18
  • Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo2025-09-21

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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