Kick-off · Sun, 30 May, 10:00 pm ISTMatchday 38
Cagliari vs Roma: Prediction
Cagliari50%Away win
Roma26% Home win24% Draw50% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.11 – 1.65
Team rating (Elo)1473 – 1508
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +11 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | -4 | 13 |
Head to head
- Roma 4–2 Cagliari2026-10-27
- Roma 2–0 Cagliari2026-02-09
- Cagliari 1–0 Roma2025-12-07
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.