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FTMatchday 3

Cagliari vs Parma: Prediction

📍 Unipol Domus

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
CagliariParma
  1. Gabriele Zappayellow card23'
  2. 30'Christian Ordoñezyellow card
  3. Yerry Mina33'
  4. 46'Christian Ordoñezon
  5. Gianluca Gaetanoon54'
  6. Gabriele Zappaon55'
  7. Sebastiano Espositoyellow card58'
  8. Alessandro Deiolayellow card62'
  9. 62'Mathias Fjørtoft Løvikon
  10. Andrea Belottion74'
  11. Sebastiano Espositoon74'
  12. Mattia Felici77'
  13. 80'Adrián Bernabéon
  14. 85'Oliver Sørensenon
  15. 85'Patrick Cutroneon
  16. Michael Folorunshoon88'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

CagliariParma
  • 51%Possession49%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 12Shots17
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 4Corners5
  • 15Fouls18
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides0
  • 6Saves3
  • 398Passes371

Line-ups

Cagliari

  • 19Andrea Belotti
  • 26Yerry Mina
  • 94Sebastiano Esposito
  • 6Sebastiano Luperto
  • 10Gianluca Gaetano
  • 28Gabriele Zappa
  • 90Michael Folorunsho
  • 33Adam Obert
  • 8Ndary Adopo
  • 1Elia Caprile
  • 16Matteo Prati

Parma

  • 32Patrick Cutrone
  • 15Enrico Del Prato
  • 14Emanuele Valeri
  • 31Zion Suzuki
  • 22Oliver Sørensen
  • 24Christian Ordoñez
  • 18Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik
  • 10Adrián Bernabé
  • 39Alessandro Circati
  • 3Abdoulaye Ndiaye
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1467 – 1454

Recent form

CagliariD
ParmaL
#TeamPGDPts
1Cagliari35-1043
2Parma35-1743

Head to head

  • Parma 0–1 Cagliari2026-08-22
  • Parma 1–1 Cagliari2026-02-27

Match preview

Cagliari host Parma in the Serie A on 13 September 2025. Cagliari sit 12th on 43 points and Parma are 13th on 43. Cagliari have won 0 of their last 1 (D), while Parma have won 0 of 1 (L). In their last 2 meetings, Cagliari won 1, Parma won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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