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FTMatchday 30

Cagliari vs Napoli: Prediction

📍 Unipol Domus

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
CagliariNapoli
  1. 2'Scott McTominay
  2. 17'Stanislav Lobotkayellow card
  3. Zé Pedroyellow card35'
  4. 55'Stanislav Lobotkaon
  5. Michael Folorunshoon65'
  6. 69'Mathías Oliverayellow card
  7. Zé Pedroon73'
  8. Ndary Adopoon73'
  9. 77'Matteo Politanoon
  10. 77'Billy Gilmouron
  11. Sebastiano Espositoon84'
  12. Juan Rodríguezon84'
  13. 84'Mathías Oliveraon
  14. Alberto Dossenayellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

CagliariNapoli
  • 33%Possession67%
  • 0.35Expected goals (xG)1.77
  • 7Shots17
  • 0Shots on target5
  • 2Corners7
  • 12Fouls16
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 4Saves0
  • 323Passes683

Line-ups

Cagliari

  • 26Yerry Mina
  • 94Sebastiano Esposito
  • 10Gianluca Gaetano
  • 90Michael Folorunsho
  • 8Ndary Adopo
  • 25Ibrahim Sulemana
  • 1Elia Caprile
  • 22Alberto Dossena
  • 32Zé Pedro
  • 15Juan Rodríguez
  • 2Marco Palestra

Napoli

  • 21Matteo Politano
  • 11Kevin De Bruyne
  • 68Stanislav Lobotka
  • 8Scott McTominay
  • 6Billy Gilmour
  • 17Mathías Olivera
  • 32Vanja Milinković-Savić
  • 4Alessandro Buongiorno
  • 19Rasmus Højlund
  • 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  • 31Sam Beukema

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1467 – 1465

Recent form

CagliariLLDDL
NapoliWDLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli35+2170
2Cagliari35-1043

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Cagliari host Napoli in the Serie A on 20 March 2026. Cagliari sit 12th on 43 points and Napoli are 2nd on 70. Cagliari have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDDL), while Napoli have won 3 of 5 (WDLWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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