Cagliari vs Lecce: Prediction
📍 Unipol Domus
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⇄Gabriele Zappaon57'
- ⇄Leonardo Pavolettion57'
- 65'⚽Omri Gandelmanassist Riccardo Sottil
- 76'⚽Ylber Ramadaniassist Lassana Coulibaly
- ⇄Adam Oberton79'
- 80'⇄Riccardo Sottilon
- 80'⇄Walid Cheddiraon
- 86'⇄Santiago Pierottion
- 86'⇄Omri Gandelmanon
- 90'⇄Lassana Coulibalyon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 59%Possession41%
- 1.01Expected goals (xG)1.35
- 11Shots13
- 0Shots on target4
- 8Corners2
- 16Fouls14
- 0Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides0
- 2Saves0
- 440Passes300
Line-ups
Cagliari
- 26Yerry Mina
- 30Leonardo Pavoletti
- 94Sebastiano Esposito
- 28Gabriele Zappa
- 33Adam Obert
- 8Ndary Adopo
- 25Ibrahim Sulemana
- 1Elia Caprile
- 32Zé Pedro
- 3Riyad Idrissi
- 2Marco Palestra
Lecce
- 30Wladimiro Falcone
- 23Riccardo Sottil
- 29Lassana Coulibaly
- 20Ylber Ramadani
- 25Antonino Gallo
- 99Walid Cheddira
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 50Santiago Pierotti
- 16Omri Gandelman
- 4Kialonda Gaspar
- 44Tiago Gabriel
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
CagliariLWWWL
LecceLLDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cagliari | 35 | -10 | 43 |
| 2 | Lecce | 35 | -22 | 32 |
Head to head
- Cagliari 1–0 Lecce2026-09-07
- Lecce 1–2 Cagliari2025-09-19
Match preview
Cagliari host Lecce in the Serie A on 16 February 2026. Cagliari sit 12th on 43 points and Lecce are 17th on 32. Cagliari have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWWL), while Lecce have won 1 of 5 (LLDLW). In their last 2 meetings, Cagliari won 2, Lecce won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
