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FTMatchday 5

Cagliari vs Inter Milan: Prediction

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Match events

2 goals
CagliariInter Milan
  1. 9'Lautaro Martínezassist Alessandro Bastoni
  2. Andrea Belottion44'
  3. 45'Carlos Nevesyellow card
  4. 46'Carlos Neveson
  5. Alessandro Deiolaon58'
  6. Zé Pedroon58'
  7. 59'Nicolo Barellayellow card
  8. 64'Nicolo Barellaon
  9. 64'Marcus Thuramon
  10. 72'Luis Henriqueon
  11. Adam Oberton77'
  12. Michael Folorunshoon78'
  13. 82'Francesco Espositoassist Federico Dimarco
  14. 89'Lautaro Martínezon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

CagliariInter Milan
  • 42%Possession58%
  • 0Expected goals (xG)3
  • 6Shots20
  • 0Shots on target5
  • 4Corners4
  • 13Fouls14
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides2
  • 3Saves0
  • 374Passes534

Line-ups

Cagliari

  • 19Andrea Belotti
  • 26Yerry Mina
  • 14Alessandro Deiola
  • 94Sebastiano Esposito
  • 6Sebastiano Luperto
  • 90Michael Folorunsho
  • 33Adam Obert
  • 8Ndary Adopo
  • 1Elia Caprile
  • 32Zé Pedro
  • 2Marco Palestra

Inter Milan

  • 23Nicolo Barella
  • 22Henrikh Mkhitaryan
  • 20Hakan Çalhanoğlu
  • 25Manuel Akanji
  • 6Stefan de Vrij
  • 10Lautaro Martínez
  • 9Marcus Thuram
  • 95Alessandro Bastoni
  • 13Josep Martínez
  • 11Luis Henrique
  • 30Carlos Neves

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1467 – 1664

Recent form

CagliariDWW
Inter MilanWLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milan35+5584
2Cagliari35-1043

Head to head

  • Inter Milan 3–0 Cagliari2026-04-17

Match preview

Cagliari host Inter Milan in the Serie A on 27 September 2025. Cagliari sit 12th on 43 points and Inter Milan are 1st on 84. Cagliari have won 2 of their last 3 (DWW), while Inter Milan have won 3 of 4 (WLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Cagliari won 0, Inter Milan won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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