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FTMatchday 12

Cagliari vs Genoa: Prediction

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Match events

6 goals
CagliariGenoa
  1. 9'Brooke Norton-Cuffyyellow card
  2. 18'Vítor Oliveiraassist Lorenzo Colombo
  3. Gennaro Borrelliassist Marco Palestra33'
  4. 41'Leo Østigårdassist Morten Thorsby
  5. Sebastiano Espositoassist Alessandro Deiola43'
  6. Alessandro Deiolayellow card44'
  7. Matteo Pratiyellow card46'
  8. Mattia Felicion57'
  9. Matteo Pration57'
  10. Gennaro Borrelliassist Gabriele Zappa60'
  11. 68'Albert Grønbækyellow card
  12. 68'Morten Thorsbyon
  13. Gennaro Borrellion71'
  14. Sebastiano Espositoon71'
  15. Alessandro Deiolaon76'
  16. 78'Vítor Oliveiraon
  17. 78'Alessandro Marcandallion
  18. Sebastiano Lupertoyellow card82'
  19. 83'Aarón Martín
  20. Yerry Minayellow card86'
  21. 88'Ruslan Malinovskyion
  22. 88'Lorenzo Colomboon
  23. 90'Brooke Norton-Cuffyyellow card
  24. 90'Brooke Norton-Cuffyred card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

CagliariGenoa
  • 50%Possession50%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 11Shots13
  • 5Shots on target8
  • 6Corners2
  • 22Fouls16
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards1
  • 0Offsides4
  • 4Saves2
  • 340Passes360

Line-ups

Cagliari

  • 26Yerry Mina
  • 14Alessandro Deiola
  • 94Sebastiano Esposito
  • 6Sebastiano Luperto
  • 28Gabriele Zappa
  • 29Gennaro Borrelli
  • 90Michael Folorunsho
  • 1Elia Caprile
  • 16Matteo Prati
  • 17Mattia Felici
  • 2Marco Palestra

Genoa

  • 2Morten Thorsby
  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 29Lorenzo Colombo
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 1Nicola Leali
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  • 27Alessandro Marcandalli

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1467 – 1472

Recent form

CagliariLDLLD
GenoaDLLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Cagliari35-1043
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Genoa 3–0 Cagliari2026-01-12

Match preview

Cagliari host Genoa in the Serie A on 22 November 2025. Cagliari sit 12th on 43 points and Genoa are 16th on 38. Cagliari have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLLD), while Genoa have won 1 of 5 (DLLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Cagliari won 0, Genoa won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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