Kick-off · Sun, 14 Mar, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 28
Cagliari vs Fiorentina: Prediction
Cagliari47%Home win
Fiorentina47% Home win25% Draw28% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.58 – 1.15
Team rating (Elo)1473 – 1464
Recent form
CagliariWDLLLFiorentinaDLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cagliari | 8 | -4 | 13 |
| 2 | Fiorentina | 8 | -7 | 5 |
Head to head
- Fiorentina 1–2 Cagliari2026-01-24
- Cagliari 1–1 Fiorentina2025-08-24
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
