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FTMatchday 4

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Mainz: Prediction

Borussia Mönchengladbach3
FT
Mainz4

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Borussia MönchengladbachMainz
  1. Florian Neuhausassist Lukas Ullrich11'
  2. 18'Phillip Tietzassist Sheraldo Becker
  3. Lukas Ullrichyellow card19'
  4. 45'Sheraldo Beckerassist Anthony Caci
  5. 55'Stefan Poschyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1444 – 1499

Recent form

Borussia MönchengladbachWLWLL
MainzWLWDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Mainz7+210
2Borussia Mönchengladbach7-64

Head to head

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 Mainz2026-04-19
  • Mainz 0–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach2025-12-05

Match preview

Borussia Mönchengladbach host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 19 September 2026. Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 17th on 4 points and Mainz are 8th on 10. Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWLL), while Mainz have won 3 of 5 (WLWDW). In their last 2 meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1, Mainz won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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