Kick-off · Mon, 30 Nov, 12:00 am ISTMatchday 11
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction
Borussia Dortmund56%Home win
Bayer Leverkusen56% Home win22% Draw22% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-1
Expected goals (model)2.01 – 1.20
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1506
Recent form
Borussia DortmundDLDWWBayer LeverkusenWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | +4 | 12 |
Head to head
- Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen2026-04-11
- Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 Borussia Dortmund2025-11-29
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
