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Kick-off · Sat, 12 Dec, 08:00 pm ISTMatchday 13

Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg: Prediction

Borussia Dortmund
65%Home win
Augsburg

Tipster consensus · who picked what

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score2-1
Expected goals (model)2.27 – 1.06
Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1498

Recent form

Borussia DortmundDLDWW
AugsburgWLDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Borussia Dortmund6+514
2Augsburg6+48

Head to head

  • Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Augsburg2026-03-14
  • Augsburg 0–1 Borussia Dortmund2025-10-31

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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