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FTMatchday 29

Borneo Samarinda vs Semen Padang: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1582 – 1407

Recent form

Borneo SamarindaDWWWW
Semen PadangDWLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Borneo Samarinda31+4072
2Semen Padang31-3620

Head to head

  • Semen Padang 0–2 Borneo Samarinda2025-11-09

Match preview

Borneo Samarinda host Semen Padang in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 25 April 2026. Borneo Samarinda sit 1st on 72 points and Semen Padang are 17th on 20. Borneo Samarinda have won 4 of their last 5 (DWWWW), while Semen Padang have won 1 of 5 (DWLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Borneo Samarinda won 1, Semen Padang won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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