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FTMatchday 25

Borneo Samarinda vs Persebaya Surabaya: Prediction

📍 Stadion Segiri

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1569 – 1563

Recent form

Borneo SamarindaWWLWD
Persebaya SurabayaDWLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Borneo Samarinda31+4072
2Persebaya Surabaya31+2756

Head to head

  • Persebaya Surabaya 2–2 Borneo Samarinda2025-12-20

Match preview

Borneo Samarinda host Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 7 March 2026. Borneo Samarinda sit 1st on 72 points and Persebaya Surabaya are 4th on 56. Borneo Samarinda have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLWD), while Persebaya Surabaya have won 2 of 5 (DWLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Borneo Samarinda won 0, Persebaya Surabaya won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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