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FTMatchday 17

Bologna vs Sassuolo: Prediction

📍 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
BolognaSassuolo
  1. 21'Fali Candéyellow card
  2. Federico Ravagliayellow card45'
  3. Giovanni Fabbianassist Nadir Zortea47'
  4. 52'Armand Laurientéyellow card
  5. 60'Fali Candéon
  6. 63'Tarik Muharemovićassist Armand Laurienté
  7. Thijs Dallingaon70'
  8. Giovanni Fabbianon70'
  9. Riccardo Orsolinion70'
  10. 71'Cristian Volpatoon
  11. Benjamín Domínguezyellow card82'
  12. Jonathan Roweon84'
  13. 87'Alieu Faderayellow card
  14. Nadir Zorteaon88'
  15. 89'Armand Laurientéon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BolognaSassuolo
  • 58%Possession42%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 16Shots8
  • 6Shots on target5
  • 2Corners3
  • 18Fouls19
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides3
  • 4Saves4
  • 455Passes336

Line-ups

Bologna

  • 33Juan Miranda
  • 7Riccardo Orsolini
  • 24Thijs Dallinga
  • 6Nikola Moro
  • 4Tommaso Pobega
  • 13Federico Ravaglia
  • 20Nadir Zortea
  • 26Jhon Lucumí
  • 41Martin Vitík
  • 11Jonathan Rowe
  • 80Giovanni Fabbian

Sassuolo

  • 18Nemanja Matic
  • 6Sebastian Walukiewicz
  • 99Andrea Pinamonti
  • 45Armand Laurienté
  • 49Arijanet Murić
  • 42Kristian Thorstvedt
  • 5Fali Candé
  • 21Jay Idzes
  • 90Ismaël Koné
  • 80Tarik Muharemović
  • 7Cristian Volpato

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1534 – 1436

Recent form

BolognaWWWLD
SassuoloWDLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Bologna35+453
2Sassuolo35-248

Head to head

  • Bologna 2–2 Sassuolo2026-09-06
  • Sassuolo 0–1 Bologna2026-03-15

Match preview

Bologna host Sassuolo in the Serie A on 28 December 2025. Bologna sit 8th on 53 points and Sassuolo are 9th on 48. Bologna have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLD), while Sassuolo have won 2 of 5 (WDLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Bologna won 1, Sassuolo won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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