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FTMatchday 24

Bologna vs Parma: Prediction

📍 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
BolognaParma
  1. Tommaso Pobegared card22'
  2. João Márioon46'
  3. 49'Sascha Britschgiyellow card
  4. 54'Gaetano Oristanioon
  5. Thijs Dallingaon57'
  6. 61'Mariano Troiloyellow card
  7. Charalambos Lykogiannison68'
  8. Jhon Lucumíyellow card76'
  9. 79'Mariano Troiloyellow card
  10. 79'Mariano Troilored card
  11. 79'Oliver Sørensenon
  12. 86'Adrián Bernabéon
  13. Federico Bernardeschion87'
  14. Jonathan Roweon87'
  15. 87'Mandela Keitaon
  16. 90'Christian Ordoñezassist Hans Nicolussi Caviglia

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BolognaParma
  • 51%Possession49%
  • 1.22Expected goals (xG)0.18
  • 16Shots5
  • 2Shots on target1
  • 4Corners5
  • 10Fouls14
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 1Red cards1
  • 3Offsides4
  • 0Saves3
  • 390Passes379

Line-ups

Bologna

  • 1Lukasz Skorupski
  • 10Federico Bernardeschi
  • 8Remo Freuler
  • 19Lewis Ferguson
  • 22Charalambos Lykogiannis
  • 24Thijs Dallinga
  • 4Tommaso Pobega
  • 26Jhon Lucumí
  • 17João Mário
  • 11Jonathan Rowe
  • 14Torbjørn Heggem

Parma

  • 15Enrico Del Prato
  • 14Emanuele Valeri
  • 22Oliver Sørensen
  • 16Mandela Keita
  • 21Gaetano Oristanio
  • 10Adrián Bernabé
  • 39Alessandro Circati
  • 40Edoardo Corvi
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino
  • 37Mariano Troilo
  • 27Sascha Britschgi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1534 – 1454

Recent form

BolognaDWLLL
ParmaWDDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Bologna35+453
2Parma35-1743

Head to head

  • Parma 1–3 Bologna2025-11-02

Match preview

Bologna host Parma in the Serie A on 8 February 2026. Bologna sit 8th on 53 points and Parma are 13th on 43. Bologna have won 1 of their last 5 (DWLLL), while Parma have won 1 of 5 (WDDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Bologna won 1, Parma won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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