Kick-off · Sun, 28 Feb, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 26
Bologna vs Lecce: Prediction
Bologna58%Home win
Lecce58% Home win22% Draw20% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.85 – 0.98
Team rating (Elo)1527 – 1442
Recent form
BolognaDWLWWLecceLLWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bologna | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 2 | Lecce | 8 | -5 | 9 |
Head to head
- Lecce 1–2 Bologna2026-10-11
- Bologna 2–0 Lecce2026-04-12
- Lecce 2–2 Bologna2025-09-28
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
