Bologna vs Lecce: Prediction
📍 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⚽Remo Freuler26'
- 36'Oumar Ngomyellow card
- 38'Jamil Siebertyellow card
- 46'⇄Corrie Ndabaon
- 46'⇄Oumar Ngomon
- 64'⇄Nikola Štulićon
- 64'⇄Lameck Bandaon
- ⇄João Márioon66'
- ⇄Simon Sohmon74'
- ⇄Nicolò Cambiaghion74'
- 83'⇄Santiago Pierottion
- ⇄Santiago Castroon85'
- ⇄Nikola Moroon85'
- ⚽Riccardo Orsoliniassist Federico Bernardeschi90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 64%Possession36%
- 2.19Expected goals (xG)0.32
- 12Shots6
- 4Shots on target1
- 8Corners6
- 15Fouls19
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides0
- 1Saves2
- 493Passes268
Line-ups
Bologna
- 8Remo Freuler
- 33Juan Miranda
- 7Riccardo Orsolini
- 6Nikola Moro
- 23Simon Sohm
- 16Nicolò Casale
- 26Jhon Lucumí
- 17João Mário
- 28Nicolò Cambiaghi
- 9Santiago Castro
Lecce
- 30Wladimiro Falcone
- 29Lassana Coulibaly
- 20Ylber Ramadani
- 19Lameck Banda
- 3Corrie Ndaba
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 50Santiago Pierotti
- 9Nikola Štulić
- 5Jamil Siebert
- 44Tiago Gabriel
- 79Oumar Ngom
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
BolognaWWWLW
LecceLLLLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bologna | 35 | +4 | 53 |
| 2 | Lecce | 35 | -22 | 32 |
Head to head
- Lecce 1–2 Bologna2026-10-11
- Lecce 2–2 Bologna2025-09-28
Match preview
Bologna host Lecce in the Serie A on 12 April 2026. Bologna sit 8th on 53 points and Lecce are 17th on 32. Bologna have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWLW), while Lecce have won 0 of 5 (LLLLL). In their last 2 meetings, Bologna won 1, Lecce won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
