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FTMatchday 4

Bologna vs Genoa: Prediction

📍 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
BolognaGenoa
  1. Federico Bernardeschiyellow card8'
  2. 37'Vítor Oliveirayellow card
  3. 42'Patrizio Masiniyellow card
  4. 43'Leo Østigårdyellow card
  5. 46'Leo Østigårdon
  6. 53'Lorenzo Colomboon
  7. Benjamín Domínguezon59'
  8. Lorenzo De Silvestrion59'
  9. 63'Mikael Egill Ellertssonassist Ruslan Malinovskyi
  10. 69'Ruslan Malinovskyion
  11. 69'Vítor Oliveiraon
  12. Nikola Moroon72'
  13. Federico Bernardeschion72'
  14. Santiago Castroassist Nicolò Cambiaghi73'
  15. 74'Brooke Norton-Cuffyyellow card
  16. Torbjørn Heggemon85'
  17. Riccardo Orsolinipenalty90'
  18. 90'Valentín Carboniyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BolognaGenoa
  • 59%Possession41%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 14Shots7
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 8Corners2
  • 12Fouls15
  • 1Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides1
  • 3Saves4
  • 406Passes290

Line-ups

Bologna

  • 1Lukasz Skorupski
  • 29Lorenzo De Silvestri
  • 10Federico Bernardeschi
  • 8Remo Freuler
  • 33Juan Miranda
  • 7Riccardo Orsolini
  • 6Nikola Moro
  • 41Martin Vitík
  • 30Benjamín Domínguez
  • 14Torbjørn Heggem
  • 9Santiago Castro

Genoa

  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 17Ruslan Malinovskyi
  • 29Lorenzo Colombo
  • 32Morten Wetche Frendrup
  • 5Leo Østigård
  • 1Nicola Leali
  • 22Johan Vasquez
  • 9Vítor Oliveira
  • 77Mikael Egill Ellertsson
  • 15Brooke Norton-Cuffy
  • 73Patrizio Masini

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1534 – 1472

Recent form

BolognaLL
GenoaDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Bologna35+453
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • Genoa 3–2 Bologna2026-01-25

Match preview

Bologna host Genoa in the Serie A on 20 September 2025. Bologna sit 8th on 53 points and Genoa are 16th on 38. Bologna have won 0 of their last 2 (LL), while Genoa have won 0 of 2 (DD). In their last 1 meetings, Bologna won 0, Genoa won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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