FTMatchday 21

Bologna vs Fiorentina: Prediction

📍 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna1

Fiorentina2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

BolognaFiorentina

19'Rolando Mandragoraassist Albert Guðmundsson
Emil Holmyellow card38'
45'Roberto Piccoli
Jens Odgaardon46'
Riccardo Orsolinion46'
Emil Holmon46'
Remo Freuleron46'
72'Rolando Mandragoraon
72'Albert Guðmundssonon
72'Cher Ndouron
Tommaso Pobegaon72'
Juan Mirandayellow card77'
80'Fabiano Parision
Giovanni Fabbianassist Jonathan Rowe88'
Lewis Fergusonyellow card90'
90'Nicolò Fagiolion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BolognaFiorentina

61%Possession39%
1.27Expected goals (xG)1.64
17Shots11
3Shots on target4
7Corners1
13Fouls13
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Offsides2
2Saves2
511Passes349

Line-ups

Bologna

8Remo Freuler
33Juan Miranda
7Riccardo Orsolini
4Tommaso Pobega
13Federico Ravaglia
16Nicolò Casale
2Emil Holm
28Nicolò Cambiaghi
21Jens Odgaard
14Torbjørn Heggem
9Santiago Castro

Fiorentina

43David de Gea
8Rolando Mandragora
21Robin Gosens
91Roberto Piccoli
5Marin Pongračić
10Albert Guðmundsson
2Dodô
65Fabiano Parisi
44Nicolò Fagioli
27Cher Ndour
15Pietro Comuzzo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1534 – 1481

Recent form

BolognaDLLDW

FiorentinaWLWDD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Bologna	35	+4	53
2	Fiorentina	35	-8	40

Head to head

Fiorentina 2–2 Bologna2025-10-26

Match preview

Bologna host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 18 January 2026. Bologna sit 8th on 53 points and Fiorentina are 15th on 40. Bologna have won 1 of their last 5 (DLLDW), while Fiorentina have won 2 of 5 (WLWDD). In their last 1 meetings, Bologna won 0, Fiorentina won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.