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FTMatchday 19

Bologna vs Atalanta: Prediction

📍 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
BolognaAtalanta
  1. 37'Nikola Krstovićassist Charles De Ketelaere
  2. Riccardo Orsolinion46'
  3. Thijs Dallingaon60'
  4. 60'Nikola Krstovićassist Marten de Roon
  5. 68'Giorgio Scalvinion
  6. 68'Nicola Zalewskion
  7. Remo Freuleron72'
  8. Giovanni Fabbianon72'
  9. 77'Nikola Krstovićon
  10. 77'Édersonon
  11. Nicolò Cambiaghion80'
  12. 84'Charles De Ketelaereon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BolognaAtalanta
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 11Shots11
  • 2Shots on target5
  • 6Corners6
  • 16Fouls15
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides5
  • 3Saves2
  • 413Passes384

Line-ups

Bologna

  • 8Remo Freuler
  • 19Lewis Ferguson
  • 33Juan Miranda
  • 7Riccardo Orsolini
  • 24Thijs Dallinga
  • 13Federico Ravaglia
  • 20Nadir Zortea
  • 41Martin Vitík
  • 28Nicolò Cambiaghi
  • 80Giovanni Fabbian
  • 14Torbjørn Heggem

Atalanta

  • 77Davide Zappacosta
  • 15Marten de Roon
  • 19Berat Djimsiti
  • 17Charles De Ketelaere
  • 29Marco Carnesecchi
  • 59Nicola Zalewski
  • 42Giorgio Scalvini
  • 13Éderson
  • 90Nikola Krstović
  • 69Honest Ahanor
  • 47Lorenzo Bernasconi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1534 – 1515

Recent form

BolognaWLDDL
AtalantaWLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Atalanta35+1454
2Bologna35+453

Head to head

  • Atalanta 0–1 Bologna2026-05-17

Match preview

Bologna host Atalanta in the Serie A on 7 January 2026. Bologna sit 8th on 53 points and Atalanta are 7th on 54. Bologna have won 1 of their last 5 (WLDDL), while Atalanta have won 3 of 5 (WLWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Bologna won 1, Atalanta won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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