Kick-off · Sun, 7 Feb, 11:00 pm ISTMatchday 23
Bologna vs AC Milan: Prediction
Bologna42%Home win
AC Milan42% Home win26% Draw32% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.46 – 1.25
Team rating (Elo)1527 – 1553
Recent form
BolognaDWLWWAC MilanWDWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan | 8 | +5 | 15 |
| 2 | Bologna | 8 | +1 | 11 |
Head to head
- AC Milan 2–4 Bologna2026-10-28
- Bologna 0–3 AC Milan2026-02-03
- AC Milan 1–0 Bologna2025-09-14
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
