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FTMatchday 23

Bologna vs AC Milan: Prediction

📍 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
BolognaAC Milan
  1. 20'Ruben Loftus-Cheekassist Adrien Rabiot
  2. 39'Christopher Nkunkupenalty
  3. 48'Adrien Rabiot
  4. Federico Ravagliayellow card51'
  5. Riccardo Orsolinion53'
  6. Santiago Castroon54'
  7. Remo Freuleryellow card58'
  8. Lewis Fergusonyellow card64'
  9. Remo Freuleron65'
  10. 67'Ruben Loftus-Cheekon
  11. 67'Zachary Athekameon
  12. 72'Christopher Nkunkuon
  13. 72'Luka Modricon
  14. Juan Mirandaon78'
  15. Jonathan Roweon78'
  16. 83'Davide Bartesaghion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

BolognaAC Milan
  • 54%Possession46%
  • 0.45Expected goals (xG)2.66
  • 13Shots10
  • 2Shots on target7
  • 5Corners0
  • 14Fouls10
  • 3Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides1
  • 4Saves2
  • 491Passes429

Line-ups

Bologna

  • 8Remo Freuler
  • 19Lewis Ferguson
  • 33Juan Miranda
  • 7Riccardo Orsolini
  • 13Federico Ravaglia
  • 16Nicolò Casale
  • 20Nadir Zortea
  • 11Jonathan Rowe
  • 21Jens Odgaard
  • 14Torbjørn Heggem
  • 9Santiago Castro

AC Milan

  • 8Ruben Loftus-Cheek
  • 14Luka Modric
  • 16Mike Maignan
  • 12Adrien Rabiot
  • 18Christopher Nkunku
  • 46Matteo Gabbia
  • 19Youssouf Fofana
  • 31Strahinja Pavlović
  • 5Koni De Winter
  • 33Davide Bartesaghi
  • 24Zachary Athekame

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1534 – 1571

Recent form

BolognaLDWLL
AC MilanDDWWD
#TeamPGDPts
1AC Milan35+1563
2Bologna35+453

Head to head

  • AC Milan 2–4 Bologna2026-10-28
  • AC Milan 1–0 Bologna2025-09-14

Match preview

Bologna host AC Milan in the Serie A on 3 February 2026. Bologna sit 8th on 53 points and AC Milan are 5th on 63. Bologna have won 1 of their last 5 (LDWLL), while AC Milan have won 2 of 5 (DDWWD). In their last 2 meetings, Bologna won 1, AC Milan won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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