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FTMatchday 4

Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin: Prediction

Bayern Munich7
FT
Union Berlin0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Bayern MunichUnion Berlin
  1. Jamal Musialaassist Alphonso Davies18'
  2. 38'Felix Uduokhaiyellow card
  3. Harry Kanepenalty39'
  4. 42'Rani Khedirayellow card
  5. Michael Oliseassist Jamal Musiala43'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1545 – 1457

Recent form

Bayern MunichWWWDW
Union BerlinDWWDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Bayern Munich7+1815
2Union Berlin6-106

Head to head

  • Bayern Munich 4–0 Union Berlin2026-03-21

Match preview

Bayern Munich host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 18 September 2026. Bayern Munich sit 1st on 15 points and Union Berlin are 15th on 6. Bayern Munich have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWDW), while Union Berlin have won 2 of 5 (DWWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Bayern Munich won 1, Union Berlin won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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